VCT 2024 Simulations Results

#1

juni

Hey guys!

I created a VCT simulation software that can simulate whole tournaments. It's a long ongoing project so some of you might already seen it. But feel free to try it and give me some feedback.
here

Here is the ranking for Americas after 100 tournament simulations:

NRG
LEV
SEN
LOUD
100T
FUR
C9
G2
MIBR
EG
KRÜ

#2

Liem

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How is shyy rated 70 and frz is 77??????

#3

yaiima0

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W

#4

lyprum

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bump!

#5

BTX

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Hiko team goes crazy

#6

beaver_man

6

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The fact that they put 100T above G2 shows that AI isn’t smarter than humans yet

#7

ffwagashi

30

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LOUD Less 78 (Sentinel)
DFM Suggest 79 (Sentinel)

This sounds right

#10

ffwagashi

3

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Anyway, this looks awsome, keep moving foward this project!

#8

cartixuzi

7

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holy shit this is so good, some stats are wrong imo but a sim of every round is pretty cool

nah scratch that a LOT of stats are wrong, aspas being the same rating as TenZ is crazyyy but its still fun

#13

AlexSMTxx

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they arent rated the same lol. TenZ is 85 and aspas is 87

#14

cartixuzi

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they were both 85 in the match i simulated so idk if thats a bug or smth

#9

anyth1ng

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Less 78 and cauanzin 72 lmao

#11

AlexSMTxx

2

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yeah the stats for some players are uhh... odd to say the least

#12

Asuna_Yuuki

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Crashies victor marved ethan all lower rated than frz 💀

#15

ionlyHave1Zuni

10

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https://www.vlr.gg/183786/nrg-esports-vs-mibr-champions-tour-2023-americas-league-w3

Frz owns dicktor and Trashies 🙄😂🐐🐐

#16

AlexSMTxx

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that's crazy 💀💀

#32

Asuna_Yuuki

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Vic and crashies both had higher acs and kills despite loss

Frz doesnt own anyone

#17

cartixuzi

3

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5 demon1s just 3-1'd 5 prime yaysters this shit is accurate nvm

#18

Yistyy

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Great work. Some feedback I must give tho, most of the ratings are abysmal.

#19

juni

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Just to be clear, the ratings are made using the player's stats, I do not decide the stats, I explain the rating process here: https://valorantsimulator.com/wiki

#21

cartixuzi

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by all means that needs to be fixed up fast because those ratings aren't convincing anyone whatsoever. For starters, shit like DFM's initiator having the same rating as Ethan is wrong on all accounts.

#22

juni

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Understood.

#23

HershieBoi

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It’s mainly due to the level of play too. Like Ethan’s stats my be similar to DFM’s but they also played at completely different levels.

#24

AlexSMTxx

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Muchas gracias mano, el website esta genial y muy entretenido. Pero si quita un poco la credibilidad cuando aspas y demon1 tienen un rating de 87 y 88 respectivamente, y de repente un man random de un equipo de tabla baja de apac tiene 91. Hay que tener en cuenta en que competiciones consiguieron esas stats. Por ejemplo, tener 20 kills por mapa en tier 2 es mucho mas facil que lograr esas stats en una Masters o Champions por ejemplo.

#27

juni

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Entiendo, lo hare mejor.

#25

Liem

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the ratings are awful

#20

Dokka

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Marteen at 77 is gonna make me shed a tear

#26

Liem

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marteen higher than jawgemo crashies marved victor 💀💀

#39

Dokka

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Marteen is Czech aspas he deserves 99

#28

juni

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Sorry guys, I'll work on the ratings, the ratings are based on stats so some regions/tiers might be less competitive than others.

#33

cartixuzi

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not only that but its overall better to consider stats in the past year or two only, bringing up stats from 2020-2021 into account rn is pretty crazy and its why TenZ has a very close rating to aspas when that shouldn't happen

#34

AlexSMTxx

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this, I don't think using TenZ 2021 stats as a metric for his current rating compared to other players is accurate. In 2021 TenZ was clearly above 99% of pro players, this is not the case anymore. Same with yay as well, his OpTic stats with chamber don't show a clear picture of his performance as a player today.

#38

juni

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I'll look into doing this.

#29

Noodle

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why does EDG have a placeholder? did i miss something with smoggy? also i think this is really cool don’t let the rating criticism get you down

#30

juni

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In vlr they only had 4 players when I did this, but look like they have 5 now, I'll fix it

#31

TheAceGamer30

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lmao sen 13-0s nrg in one map lollll

#35

AR1AN

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Wtf are this ratings💀
Great work to build simulation but the ratings are stupid

#44

FireII

3

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highest rated player i could find was 91 jemkin lmao

#53

Ballsamolee

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what the fuck

#36

Bonkbonk201

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I'll be honest, i hate how when i sim a match and press "new match" it goes off the tournament i'm playing and not just back to it

#37

juni

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There's a go back to tournament button.

#47

Bonkbonk201

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Not if u have only sim'd 1-2 matches out of a bo3, it would only allow me to go back to the main screen again, it ruined my progress on tournaments tons of times

#50

juni

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Gotcha, sorry about that I removed the button.

#51

Bonkbonk201

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Ty^

#40

funny_prank

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very cool concept and obviously its hard to make an accurate formula for overall rating but some of them are wayyy off, maybe you can add a coefficient that takes into account how many high-level tournaments theyve played in or something

#41

cioccolat

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Furia 2x0 NRG in this simulator.... i see you are good at this. W simulator

#42

Steelz

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tbm simulei e deu 2x1 furia, o mw e havoc tao mt roubado nesse simulador kkkkkk

#43

gamingtaming

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Where smoggy :(

#45

juni

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Posted this on twitter:
Back to working!
The next update would be to improve the rating system. Right now the rating system uses stats from the whole player's career as that can be an issue because of different levels across tiers/time/regions.
The next rating system will prioritize recent years, and tier 1 VCT experience. Stats outside the recent year and outside tier 1 will have a lower influence on the player ratings. Let me know what you guys think.

Anyone interested I'll be posting updates on twitter.Twitter Link

#46

HershieBoi

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that sounds really cool Hopefully the rating gets better, but of course, it is very hard to make something like this accurate.

#49

AlexSMTxx

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I feel like everyone will be satisfied and understand the rating as long as it isn't outrageous. I get it's very hard to put a player's skill into a number, but it doesn't make sense for players like C0M and Ethan to be rated 69 and 71 respectively, while Jemkin on Rex Regum Qeon has a rating of 91

#48

Mozzarellas

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mrfallin 72 flex rating?????

#52

hellfire

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la wea cool bro, como ya comentó la mayoría ps los ratings, pero la iniciativa es muy interesante 🐐

#54

juni

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Updated the ratings 😊

#56

Liem

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W 🔥🔥🔥🐐🐐

#55

geospliced

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The custom team system is broken?

#58

juni

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why?

#59

geospliced

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Idk maybe it's a me problem but when I select Custom in the team picker it only shows a gray interface of nothingness.

#61

juni

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oh, you gotta me sure you create a team before here: https://valorantsimulator.com/custom-teams

#62

geospliced

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Thanks! Didn't want to lose all 24 of my custom teams lol

#57

Syr0m

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100T 🤣🤣🤣🤣

#60

NomadsX6

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I simmed twice and 100T won both tournaments, I approve this simulator👍

#63

jamONE

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with some fine tuning, this can be fire

#64

LimitLessLife

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SEN doesnt have the right line up nor the good role JohnQT on Duelist.. That f up

#65

juni

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yeah, will fix soon.