Brother I genuinely mean this from the bottom of my heart, please re-read your comment and genuinely judge whether you have displayed bias or logical inconsistency, and if so where. I encourage you to do this for your own development, you should learn about the most common fallacies
You are making so many assumptions and weird logical jumps. Like you realise there are technically thousands of different scenarios not just those 3. We are talking about those 3 because those are the ones we brought up. The two distinct categories that people are arguing for are whether sinaatra is lying or cleo is lying. You can break those 2 down into thousands of different scenarios.
e.g.
- cleo could be lying to ruin his reputation so that others view him differently
- cleo could be making it up purely to get clout and she likes the fame
- cleo could be slandering him specifically to ruin his career
- cleo could be making it up to get a following on her onlyfans to make money
do you see why your logic doesnt work?
And even if there were only 3 scenarios, where 2 = guilty. That doesn't make it more likely, this is 'Equiprobability Bias' - you have automatically assumed it's equally likely for those 3 scenarios to happen (basically impossible) when in reality 2 are derivations from the same one.
Imagine
10 scenarios to get rich: lottery, find gold, successful business, find oil, etc
2 scenarios to stay poor:
keep current job, get fired
10 vs 2 - surely its more likely to get rich!