How likely each team is to win Toronto

#1

AleAlejandro

SEN - 30%
FNC - 20%
GENG - 15%
RRQ - 12%
PRX - 8%
MIBR 5%
Gamers2 - 5%
BLG/XLG/WOL - 5% combined
TL - 0.1%
TH - 0%

#2

thatpower

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Alejandro

#3

kfan4238173

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thank u for not baiting this time alex :D

#5

AleAlejandro

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I never bait🤨

#4

Tempest24

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whyd u give the winners 8%

#6

delighted

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GEN over RRQ 🥀🥀🥀

#9

AleAlejandro

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It's the correct take. RRQ fluked the grand final + their ceiling is lower than GENG.

#18

delighted

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RRQ's chance should at least be the same as GEN dawg

#20

AleAlejandro

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Definitely not. The more I think about it the more I'm convinced I rated RRQ too highly. They are a one-man team and just don't have the firepower to win Toronto. I'd probably swap PRX and RRQ if I were to redo the list.

#21

delighted

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"one-man team" they have Monyet, who has international event experience bro

#22

archetype

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crazy that u brought up monyet and not kushy

#24

delighted

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oh fuck I almost forgot about him yeah

Kushy's gonna fry even with the pressure around him

people need to stop underrating RRQ

#25

AleAlejandro

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Yeah he has international event experience of being bad

#26

delighted

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he got 3rd in Masters Madrid dawg

does 3rd basically mean NOTHING now?

#27

AleAlejandro

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No it doesn't mean anything if you got carried there

#28

delighted

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so that's basically saying GEN.G getting third in kickoff means ABSOLUTELY NOTHING bc they didn't qualify for Bangkok 🥀

#29

AleAlejandro

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No I'm saying Monyet getting third doesn't matter since he was shit the entire event

continue thread →

#7

Warlordwibz

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Asia won last 3/3 international event. Either GenG/PRX should swap with SEN for the 30%. Have SEN be the 20% if u want to compromise.

#8

AleAlejandro

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They won because they played against choker teams like Gamers2 and Hereshits in the grand final and not because their region is better. Sen and fnc are still better than any asian team.

#10

Warlordwibz

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Speaking about Choking
https://www.vlr.gg/475902/sentinels-vs-g2-esports-champions-tour-2025-americas-stage-1-gf

#11

AleAlejandro

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G2 can have their mickey mouse americas trophies, we don't care. We have 2 (soon 3) more masters than they ever will.

#12

31Raven

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“we” are we deadass

#17

delighted

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fym we ur not on the team

#13

cameran

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FNC 20
G2 20
TH 20
GENG 15
SEN 10
RRQ 10
PRX or MIBR or whoever makes playoffs 5

#14

Jigabigale

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Terrible list bro... Do you even know how percentages work? You either WIN or you LOSE so the real chances are:
SEN - 50%
FNC - 50%
GENG - 50%
RRQ - 50%
PRX - 50%
MIBR 50%
Gamers2 - 50%
BLG/XLG/WOL - 150% combined
TL - 50%
TH - 0%

#15

_AshBorne_

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i agree with this one

#16

Uribaba

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Finally the math is mathing

#19

goatsterfnc

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Sen 30 when G2 and fnc are still there. LoL

#23

DrudaL

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I think thats too much for TH

#32

reallylargelemon

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I think fnc > g2 > sen currently

#33

jdawg_vlr

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agreed.

SEN not even top 4