i couldn't think of a good title, cleg gave me this one
https://forms.gle/iKWz9zJXQdVbK5ci8
edit: results that add up to more than 100 are discluded
VLR does top 4- Winning chances
posted in
Valorant Discussion
if u didn't get a perfect score ima call mao zedong, chiang kai shek, Qin Shi Huang, and Kubli Khan on your ass
results that add up to more than 100 are discludedassgamer's result won't count 😞
do not disrespect an old stinky cat flair, you can do that when he abandons OSC and goes back to SEN
Not allowing 0% ruins the form
25% G2, 75% 100T
Making me give Heretics any shot is ridiculous
Don't even have their full roster
yet to beat a team that isn't from EMEA or China (2 weakest regions)
Can't close out 10-2
They have a 0% chance to win.
beating FPX(CN) is probably a better win than 100T have ngl
FPX(CN) probably beat PRX with their form
people said FPX (EMEA) had no chance when suygetsu arrived and FPX(EMEA) was in lowers round 1
look what happened
I'm literally not gonna dignify that with a reponse
entirely speculating and waffling
I would suggest anyone into betting put their parents' house on Heretics going out in 4th place.
trying to argue there isn't a chance in scenarios like this(there's always a chance) is a losing battle, good on you for realizing that
There is 0 chance.
There's a 5% chance TH wins against 100T
0% they beat Gen.G at all
its a 40-60 for th winning against 100t and they defo can upset g0ng idk what you on about minisasuke
I guess we're watching different games then man, I don't know what to tell you
Don't get your hopes up
TH's chances of beating 100T are AT LEAST 25%
for every 1 person you can get to agree with you i can get 10 to agree with me on this, quit it
You could get 100 people to agree with you and I could be here on my own, and next weekend the results will be the same.
TH goes home in 4th and starts the work for a Champs run, where they will look better than they did here.
are you saying the results will prove you right?
neither of us are saying TH will win or should win
I will show my calculations
Assume that
Chance to win 100T : 0.6 aginst TH, 0.7 aginst G2, 0.4 aginst GenG
Chance to win TH: 0.4 aginst 100T, 0.5 aginst G2, 0.4 aginst GenG
Chance to win G2: 0.3 aginst 100T, 0.5 aginst TH, 0.4 aginst GenG
Chance to win GenG : 0.6 against everyone
100T and TH need to win 3 games to win this master
100T chance : 0.6(TH) x 0.7(G2) x 0.4(GenG) = 0.17
TH chance : 0.4(100T) x 0.5(G2) x 0.4(GenG) = 0.08
G2 chance : [0.6(lose upper blanket final against GENG) x [0.6(100T win against TH) x 0.3(100T) x 0.4(GenG) + 0.4( TH win against 100T) x 0.5(TH) x 0.4(GenG)]] + [0.4(win upper blanket final against GENG) x [ 0.6x0.4(100T qualify for Final) x 0.3(100T) + 0.4x0.4(TH qualify for final) x 0.5(TH) + (1-0.24-0.16)(GenG qualify for final) x 0.4(GENG)]] = 0.25
GenG chance : 1 - 0.17 - 0.08 - 0.25 = 0.50
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