Win probability by region for Santiago

#1

MaximumImpactVLR

America's: 90%, home crowd buff and way more depth than other regions.
China : 5%
APAC: 3.5%
EMEA: 1.5%

Your thoughts?

#2

twigster001

9

Frags

+

–

all 4 are 25%, it's either they win or they don't

#4

MaximumImpactVLR

-12

Frags

+

–

Nah, our region is far ahead right now.

#5

catNmouse

2

Frags

+

–

the only correct take here

#24

Piter

0

Frags

+

–

Axtualaly that makes it 50% chance for each region

#27

twigster001

0

Frags

+

–

50*4 = 200
einstein

#39

Piter

0

Frags

+

–

But you only have two pptions.
To be 25% you have to have 5 options.

#44

ImmeRyS

1

Frags

+

–

the math isnt mathing here...

#43

Anguibok

0

Frags

+

–

~~Thens it's 50% all, win or loose uwu~~

#3

mondely

0

Frags

+

–

I actually think it's this:

Emea: 35%
Pacific: 29%
America: 28%
China: 8%

#7

MaximumImpactVLR

0

Frags

+

–

How many bottles a day? 😂😂

#8

mondely

0

Frags

+

–

get ready to hop off that nrg bandwagon when they don't do anything this year.

#6

Candlee

0

Frags

+

–

EMEA 0.001%*

#9

lyssss

8

Frags

+

–

china 10%
americas 40%
apac 30%
emea 20%

#10

seven_glazer

0

Frags

+

–

Classic lysss W

#11

Bigfish

0

Frags

+

–

yep more accurate although i would say china 5% and emea 25% no hate to china but they fell off

#16

catNmouse

-2

Frags

+

–

emea and china are in the same boat

#28

twigster001

-2

Frags

+

–

"china fell off" and the entire region has significantly improved since 2024

#12

AlittleMio

-1

Frags

+

–

cmon man americas have quite inexperienced teams and G2 who wint anything internationally anyway. Emea atleast has international experience, and so does APAC.
I do agree on that 3% china chance tho well probably see at least 1 of Ag/EDG in playoffs

#14

4so4so4so

8

Frags

+

–

EMEA is literally going to send M8 and BBL and you’re talking about international experience 😂😂😂

#36

Hyxagon

1

Frags

+

–

tf you mean inexperienced teams
get nrg and mibr all have hella international experience, and were bound to see at least 2 of those teams at santiago if not all 3
meanwhile the most experienced teams emea might send are th and fnc, who are both known chokers and look like complete downgrades from the rosters where they even got close to winning internationals

#13

4so4so4so

7

Frags

+

–

EMEA 1%
APAC 2.5%
CHINA 0.5%
Cloud9 96%

#29

twigster001

1

Frags

+

–

where's the 2.5% for apac coming from

#15

SleepingSnorlax

0

Frags

+

–

None is supporting outside of mazino only Chilean player and also AmericAss ain’t winning masters it is Pacific

#17

notnorte

0

Frags

+

–

china guaranteed to win one of the two masters this year btw come back when im right

#18

SleepingSnorlax

1

Frags

+

–

Yeah AG stays alive there is a chance

#19

poggpigg

1

Frags

+

–

china 100%

#20

MindGoblin1

0

Frags

+

–

lol

#21

Castawaytwizz

2

Frags

+

–

https://ibb.co/f6kZmy3 i got news for you buddy

#22

WhzyGlazer420

0

Frags

+

–

china 50%
pacific 30%
americas 15%
fnatic 5%

#23

MaximumImpactVLR

4

Frags

+

–

Ch0na is ass

#31

WhzyGlazer420

3

Frags

+

–

MaximumImpactVLR
Flag: United States
Registered: February 5, 2026
Last post: February 11, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Posts: 47

BANDWAGON ALERT!!!

4-0 AGAINST SHITRG BTW

#25

asunaluvr

1

Frags

+

–

china: 15%
emea: 20%
apac: 20%
amer: 45%

#32

kkrekt

0

Frags

+

–

i agree besides amer 40 and apac 25...
id put amer 50 and china 10 if 100t doesnt make it though
they singehandedly drag down americas

#33

asunaluvr

0

Frags

+

–

??
that's so rude
100T have hungry talents with proven coaches who have won trophies before
:(

#34

kkrekt

0

Frags

+

–

i just dont understand their core... been together for how long and the best they can scrap up is a fourth? shanghai mb

#35

asunaluvr

0

Frags

+

–

they are good players its just didnt quite work out last year

#37

kkrekt

0

Frags

+

–

havent worked out in many years... tell me a team thats kept its core and hasn't won a trophy OR made it to grand finals of an event
also they made 3rd in berlin?? i had no clue

#38

SentinelsClearsAllTeams

0

Frags

+

–

had to add the and or statement because of g2 lol

#40

kkrekt

0

Frags

+

–

not even a g2 fan, I’ve stopped supported since core tgrd split

#41

SentinelsClearsAllTeams

0

Frags

+

–

do u use internet explorer by any chance?

#26

Linardinssssss

-1

Frags

+

–

Emea 100% cuz Heretics are there

#30

Zelestia

1

Frags

+

–

Mickey mouse merchants 😹😹😹😹😹😹😹

#42

Krayon9239

0

Frags

+

–

Emea Zero