tttangent
Country: United States
Registered: June 19, 2021
Last post: August 6, 2022 at 3:16 PM
Posts: 169
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respect to him, he's the only person out of thousands of users who has a flawless pickem for the APAC LCQ, and according to him BME will be qualifying to Istanbul

https://www.vlr.gg/pickem/8fb0fc5e

posted 3 days ago

stats are displaying very strangely for this game, they're supposed to be sorted by ACS but they're not

for breeze JonahP and neT should be switched and ShahZam and shroud should be switched
for ascent Sayaplayer and neT should be switched
for icebox neT and trent should be switched and dapr and Zellsis should be switched
and for al maps dapr and TenZ should be switched

posted 5 days ago

going back to masters pickrates, you're right about jett > raze on ascent so fair enough (32% to 18%), but raze was picked a lot more on haven (55% to 32%)

posted 5 days ago

sure jett is a top 3 duelist but did you see the duelist pickrates at copenhagen?

Raze - 54% (2nd)
Jett - 17% (13th)
Neon - 14% (14th)
Yoru - 3% - (16th)
Reyna - 0% (18th)
Phoenix - 0% (19th)

raze had a higher pickrate than all other duelists combined (54% to 34%)
also all duelists combined had an 88% pickrate, meaning that out of the 5 agents per team, less than one duelist was picked per team on average

posted 5 days ago

jett >= raze on ascent
raze >> jett on fracture
raze >>> jett on bind
raze > jett on haven
raze >= jett on icebox
jett >> raze on breeze
jett > raze on pearl

neon is an agent that is basically viable on every map but raze is the safer and usually better option

edit: changed ascent comparison

posted 5 days ago

best of LATAM > best of BR (as of right now), i would take KRU + LEV over LOUD + NIP
rest of BR top teams > rest of LATAM top teams, i would take VK/LOS easily over FUS/EXL, and FUR + MIBR easily over whoever the 5th-6th best LATAM teams are

posted 6 days ago

trexx and yacine are both raze mains, although trexx does have some flexibility, is it known if trexx will flex on more maps to let yacine play raze, or is yacine going to be playing a new role? i'm assuming it's the first one, but still an interesting move considering that someone like zeek (i know he's overhyped but he's still a very solid player) would be able to step right into russ's shoes in terms of agent roles

posted 6 days ago

TS 2-0 ORDER one close game one not so close game

I picked ORDER to get here but I think TS is too much for them

posted 6 days ago

because they won in UR1 and the team they lost against had a bye so they prefer to put 3rd-6th seeds into the first lower round rather than 1st/2nd seeds or teams that have already won a match

posted 1 week ago

NA
Chamber/KJ/Neon/Raze
Vandal usually (I still use Phantom situationally) and Judge sometimes on defense depending on map

posted 1 week ago

where is zekken

posted 2 weeks ago

i'm not even trying to say that LEV is a terrible team, being 7th in the world still makes them an incredibly strong team, i just don't understand how you can use the excuse that it was their first ever LAN match to justify putting them at 4th in the world above teams like OPTC that have proven significantly more than them

posted 2 weeks ago

so... FNC barely managed to beat a team... that barely managed to beat XSET... and that justifies them being significantly better than OPTC... how?

you're also changing the subject, i'm asking how you're putting LEV at 4th and you're trying to change it into an argument about why FNC is better than OPTC

but if you want to talk about FNC, then sure.

what has FNC proven?

posted 2 weeks ago

so you're using the valorant community's expectations and predictions for teams to justify making excuses for teams (LEV) while simultaneously using them to bash on others? (XSET)

posted 2 weeks ago

you're berating XSET for performing badly while also applauding LEV for barely managing to beat them, when they were both in the same situation? how does that make sense?

posted 2 weeks ago

okay so why aren't you making that excuse for XSET?

posted 2 weeks ago

and why is LEV 4th for barely beating the "mighty XSET" and LOSING to "ChokeRX"?

posted 2 weeks ago

no actually they lost against DRX, the same team that OPTC "barely" beat.

what's your point?

posted 2 weeks ago

for what though? sure they beat OPTC but both maps were down to the wire (11-13 and 14-16) and you can't tell me that OPTC played up to their normal level considering yay was literally at the bottom of the scoreboard for both teams combined.

they also lost against a clearly underperforming suygetsu who was playing his first match with FPX after they had played their last 10 maps with a sub, and obviously was taking some time to get back into the feel of things

posted 2 weeks ago

didn't LEV lose to DRX?

also didn't LEV almost lose 4 different times to XSET? (XSET had series point 4 different rounds)

posted 2 weeks ago
  1. PRX
  2. FPX
  3. OPTC
  4. FNC
  5. GLD
  6. DRX
  7. LEV
  8. KRU
  9. LOUD
  10. XSET
  11. NTH
  12. XIA

I have OPTC over FNC because while OPTC's wins were against easier competition (XSET and DRX), you can make the same argument about FNC, since they only beat FPX without suygetsu and they just barely scraped out a win against LEV (who in turn only managed to barely beat XSET). I think you can fairly swap 3rd/4th but I would personally put OPTC higher.

posted 2 weeks ago

There's no way LEV should be considered the 4th best team in the world right now. How are they 2 spots above OPTC when in the two common games they had, OPTC handled XSET and beat DRX, while LEV barely beat XSET and lost to DRX? It's fair to say that OPTC had the easiest road to upper finals with wins over XSET and DRX, but you can't then go and put LEV at 4th for performing worse against the same teams just because they had a close match against a clearly struggling FNC.

edit: grammar

posted 2 weeks ago

are you talking about when your team got punished for using a known exploit that other teams had been punished for in the past?

posted 2 weeks ago

LATAM's performance at Masters:
5th-6th, 9th-10th (lost in groups)
NA's performance at Masters:
3rd, 7th-8th

LATAM is so much better than NA right

posted 2 weeks ago

LATAM's 3rd best team (FUSION) has 2 NA players on it that were tier 2 at best when they were in NA...

LATAM's 2nd best team didn't make it out of groups and their only win was against their own continent...

LATAM's best team barely beat XSET...

are you okay?

posted 2 weeks ago

ascent is FPX's best map and it's just okay for PRX so they probably ban split and ascent, both teams are kind of iffy on icebox and PRX is pretty good on fracture

maybe FPX picks fracture but I think PRX banning split/ascent and picking bind to start is a safe bet

posted 2 weeks ago

how is FPX gonna ban either of those maps LMAO

posted 2 weeks ago

how does 1st -> 3rd mean the 1st place run was a fluke???

was M3C's run at berlin a fluke too because they didn't repeat at champions?

posted 2 weeks ago

PRX bans Ascent, PRX bans Split
PRX picks Bind, FPX picks Haven, PRX picks Breeze, FPX picks Icebox, Fracture remains

Bind: PRX 13-8 FPX (1-0)
Haven: PRX 11-13 FPX (1-1)
Breeze: PRX 13-6 FPX (2-1)
Icebox: PRX 12-14 FPX (2-2)
Fracture: PRX 13-10 FPX (3-2)

PRX wins 3-2

posted 2 weeks ago

how is gambit more consistent than optic? they went to 2 LANs in a row and to their credit, did incredibly well (1st place and 2nd place) but they haven't qualified to either of the LANs this year, whereas optic has qualified to 4 LANs in a row, and outside of champs 2021 has done incredibly well in all of them (2nd place, 1st place, guaranteed top 3 at copenhagen)

posted 2 weeks ago

first script is a repeat of reykjavik, OPTC loses the upper final to PRX 1-2, then comes back to beat FNC in the lower final and PRX in the grand final to repeat as masters champions

second script is an EMEA comeback to foster the NA-EMEA rivalry, both FPX and FNC fell victim to substitute issues in masters 1, one of those two teams (let's be real, probably FNC) makes a crazy lower bracket run to beat OPTC in the grand final, either a 3-0 (like each of the 3 previous masters) with close maps or a really contested 3-2 to give us a really close international grand final which we have only ever had at champions

although maybe PRX says fuck the script and holds W into the trophy, that could always happen too

posted 3 weeks ago

did anyone clip it? i gotta see that again

posted 3 weeks ago

3 groups of 4 teams wouldn't work.

if 2 teams make it out of each group, there would be 6 teams in playoffs, so 2 would have a bye somehow, but you can't just give a bye to the top seed because there would be 3 top seeds

posted 3 weeks ago

i'll venmo u $5 if this happens

posted 3 weeks ago

also if LEV beats DRX 2-0 i'll venmo the first 3 people to reply to this comment with an L (AFTER THE MATCH ENDS) $5 each

posted 3 weeks ago

valid take but i find it very difficult to give any team less than a 25% chance at this level of competition

posted 3 weeks ago

definitely gold 2 peak but currently silver 3

posted 3 weeks ago

if LEV beats DRX 2-0 come back and downvote this comment as much as possible

posted 3 weeks ago

if DRX 13-0's LEV come back to this post please and ty i'm feeling a 13-0 today

posted 3 weeks ago

40% DRX 2-0 LEV
35% DRX 2-1 LEV
20% LEV 2-1 DRX
5% LEV 2-0 DRX

my pick: DRX 2-0 LEV, one map is relatively competitive (somewhere between 13-8 and 13-11) and the other is not (13-6 or worse)

25% OPTC 2-0 XSET
35% OPTC 2-1 XSET
25% XSET 2-1 OPTC
15% XSET 2-0 OPTC

my pick: OPTC 2-1 XSET, OPTC wins a close map 1 (13-10, 13-11 or 14-12), XSET wins a competitive but not super close map 2 (13-8 or 13-9) and OPTC comfortably wins map 3 (13-4 to 13-7)

random bold prediction: LEV starts off very strong with an 8-4 half on map 1, DRX comes back to win 13-10, and then DRX 13-0 LEV on map 2

posted 3 weeks ago

congratulations to DRX for achieving the first international 13-0 since Champions 2021

posted 3 weeks ago

btw, due to the way the bracket is laid out, it's not possible for all 3 EMEA teams to finish top 3 (one team from the other side of the bracket will make it to upper finals which is guaranteed top 3)

because of this, if either FNC or FPX finishes top 3, they are guaranteed to qualify. great post though!

posted 3 weeks ago

I didn't see this before, my apologies, although there are a couple errors I noticed in your post. Thank you though! I'll leave a quick comment on yours

posted 3 weeks ago

Seeing as all 3 of the EMEA teams in Copenhagen will be competing today, I thought it would be fitting to look into each team's path to Champions.

7 of the 8 EMEA teams that will be participating in the LCQ have been locked in; out of the 3 teams that are currently competing in Copenhagen, 2 will directly qualify to Champions, and 1 will be sent to compete in the LCQ, depending on each team's performance in the Masters playoffs. Here are the scenarios:

Current VCT points:
FunPlus Phoenix: 200 points
FNATIC: 125 points
Guild Esports: 50 points

Since the most likely scenario is that Guild will be the team that is sent to the LCQ, sending the other 2 teams to Champions, I will focus on the scenarios for Guild first to make things simpler.

Guild needs at LEAST a top 4 finish to secure a spot in Champions, but even that may not be enough. This is because Guild needs to make up at least 75 points of ground to catch up to FNC, and 5th-6th only gives 50 more points than 7th-8th.

  • With a top 2 finish, Guild will guarantee themselves a spot in Champions.
  • With a 3rd place finish, the only scenario in which Guild does not qualify to champions is if FNC places 1st or 2nd AND FPX places 4th (it is not possible for all 3 EMEA teams to finish top 3), in which case FNC will easily take 1st in the standings and FPX will earn enough points to stay ahead of Guild.
  • With a 4th place finish, Guild would need to either finish above FNC and/or FPX would need to place 7th-8th (I believe Guild would then win the tiebreaker with FPX due to Masters placement).
  • With a 5th-8th finish, Guild will not qualify to Champions.

If Guild fails to qualify, then obviously FNC and FPX will both qualify. What happens in the scenarios where Guild qualifies for Champions? If Guild qualifies as shown above, FNC has to both finish top 4 AND finish higher than FPX to qualify for Champions, in which case they will earn at least 100 more circuit points than FPX, allowing them to make up for FPX's current 75 point lead. Otherwise, FPX will qualify over FNC, since 5th-6th only gives 50 more points than 7th-8th, which is not enough to make up the difference.

Which 2 of the 3 EMEA teams above do you guys think will qualify to Champions, and which team will be sent to face the dreaded LCQ?

posted 3 weeks ago

just wanted to let you guys know that if you look at the VCT circuit point standings, it shows XIA and LOUD in the standings for every region instead of just their own

posted 4 weeks ago

Group A winner's match links to the Group B winner's match

posted 4 weeks ago
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