50% EMEA
5%KR
1%JP
14%NA
10%BR
10%APAC
10%LATAM
Apac has a higher chance than br, 2 apac teams went to quarters last champions, brazil lost all their groups matches.
Honestly I would bump the non-emea chances given there is a strong probability that a lot of visa issues regarding Russian players could almost nuke 2 EMEA teams leaving fnatic as the only hope for EU. There is decent odds KRU will be the highest placing team at Champs to be able to play at iceland. Feelsvisaproblemsman
50% EMEA
5% NA
1% LATAM (keznit racist)
44% BR
the rest is 0%
If LOUD doesn't qualify it's
99% EMEA
1% LATAM (onur anti-vaxx dumbass)
The rest is 0%
EMEA: 56%
NA: 24% (OPTIC and Guard the only ones I believe in maybe Cloud9 If seen more strategical depth)
BR: 10% (Sounds dumb, but LOUD is looking really strong, fluent strategical depth and great fundamentals, able to neutralize big threats from Champions-level)
LATAM: 5%
APAC: 4%
KR: 1%
JP: 0% (Sadge)