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my fictional betting journey

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#1
natalie229

at the start of 2026 i gave myself $1,000 fake money to bet on vct games using the actual scorelines from vlr, and logged all my bets in a channel in 229 server - after 2 weeks i'm up to $1,142.30
i will continue to update this thread as i keep winning

#2
delighted
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Frags
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when r u gonna make the emea bets I wanna bet right neow

#3
Yistyy
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Frags
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might as well start using real money

#10
natalie229
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Frags
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i'm 16½ ~ plus i have a very addictive personality so real-life sports betting is the worst possible thing for me to get involved with

#4
9wntr
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Frags
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Bet it all on t3 cn

#5
delighted
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Frags
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afaik 229 doesn't have a clue abt which teams are on t3 cn

#6
Dumbfoon
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Frags
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what kind of strategy are you using? do you just bet lots of money on obvious wins, money on teams you want to win, or small amounts on risky wins?

#7
delighted
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I think for the best amount of profit earned a combination of all 3 of these have to be used

#8
natalie229
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here's my bets so far

natalie ⋆ ˚。⋆୨୧˚Role icon, Ascendant 2

1/13/26, 13:36
$25 on Furia @ 2.7 (hit)
$100 on ENVY @ 2.02 (hit)
$40 on Tyloo @ 2.32 (hit)
$35 on LEV @ 1.86
$25 on KC @ 1.75

natalie ⋆ ˚。⋆୨୧˚Role icon, Ascendant 2

1/15/26, 22:22
+$102
$1102

natalie ⋆ ˚。⋆୨୧˚Role icon, Ascendant 2

09:35
+$47.50
$1149.50
+$52.80
$1,202.30
-$60
--------------------
$1,142.30
--------------------
$225 on TH vs NAVI @ 1.5
$275 on JDG vs TEC @ 1.57


#11
Dumbfoon
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Frags
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oh ok so actually quite a few "risky" bets (especially the envy one). i think maybe the TH vs NAVI game odds are actually a bit off as navi actually look really good but are considered pretty heavy underdogs

#12
natalie229
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Frags
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I am a Heretics fan so I gambled with slight bias (another reason why I am not doing this in real life)

1.5x odds implies that the team has a ⅔ chance of winning, I think that if the match were to be played an arbitrarily large number of times the fraction of TH wins would approach ⅔

#17
Dumbfoon
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Frags
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i actually think they're quite evenly matched to be honest, i would probably choose heretics over navi as well but navi were looking better and better last year and i think this year they could make an international - im not huge on heretics since they replaced miniboo with comeback so maybe its just that talking though

#18
natalie229
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Frags
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i wouldn't be surprised if we get a TH 26-11

#20
Dumbfoon
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tbh idk if comeback is as good of a replacement as miniboo as he looked and i think miniboo provided a lot of value that people didnt really see that i think will be missing now hes gone

#19
delighted
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Frags
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miniboo -> comeback is more or less a sidegrade so TH will still be strong

#21
Dumbfoon
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i think miniboo is a lot better than people gave him credit for

#9
Astar
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Frags
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the start of the season is actually the best games to bet
cus some people are just too clueless to know about new players the org signed

bet risky at the beginning like every start of the season or every meta changes, then bet safely the rest of the games

#13
tua
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Frags
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That’s pretty cool, I’m doing the same except no money

Just total predictions
https://www.vlr.gg/603518/documenting-my-predictions/#1

#14
natalie229
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Frags
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https://www.vlr.gg/pickem/4d4c33a3
light 4/4 for EMEA

#15
tua
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Frags
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Am not knowledgable in EMEA….😢

229fn 🤗

#16
natalie229
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Frags
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it's fineeee i am 5/8 in Americas because I had faith in LEV to win both games

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