Statistically they should, but anything can happen and we've seen a ton of eco wins even at the top level. He killed all 3 riflers in 2 seconds and secured the round by getting the fourth.
crashies also had Viper's Pit which would've made it so much harder to retake
there were plenty of games where one round decided it, pretty much every game sentinels played besides games on split were close asf
Because I wanted to post this to VLR as well but they don't allow images so I just linked the tweet instead of saying the same thing again