Nah Lev will definitely pick Ascent if EDG doesn't ban it, i don't think the loss against Trace will be enough to make them lose their faith on their Ascent, especially because its against EDG.

Honestly this game should start 1-0 for Lev because they should win Icebox or Ascent (whatever EDG doesn't ban) pretty cleanly.

The other 2 maps are gonna be good for both teams no matter what so really its anyone's game from there. To me, its:

EDG ban Icebox
LEV ban Bind
EDG pick Lotus
LEV pick Ascent
EDG ban Abyss
LEV ban Haven
Sunset Decider

As you said i think Lev wins 2-1 or even 2-0 here but EDG did upset Sentinels so who knows