Less carried that LOUD by himself
and definetely Derke over aspas, he played a perfect tournament only the final wasn't the best of his matches
Less finals MVP and definetely the 2nd best player of the tournament after Leo

2021 Reykjavik:
Duelist: TenZ (MVP) (FMVP)
Smoker: peri
Initiator: Lakia
Sentinel: dapr
Flex: ScreaM
(this tournament the IGLs weren't as important as they're rn)

2021 Berlin:
Duelist: yay
Smoker: MaKo
Initiator(IGL): Hiko
Sentinel: nAts (MVP)
Flex: Chronicle (FMVP)

2021 Champions:
Duelist: ScreaM
Smoker(IGL): BONECOLD
Initiator: zeek
Sentinel: nAts (FMVP)
Flex: Chronicle (MVP)

2022 Reykjavik:
Duelist: yay (MVP) (FMVP)
Smoker: MaKo
Initiator: Sacy
Sentinel(IGL): FNS
Flex: Victor

2022 Copenhagen:
Duelist: yay
Smoker(IGL): ANGE1
Initiator: Shao (MVP) (FMVP)
Sentinel: SUYGETSU
Flex: f0rsakeN

2022 Champions:
Duelist: yay (MVP)
Smoker: MaKo
Initiator: Sacy (FMVP)
Sentinel: Less
Flex(IGL): saadhak

2023 Lock-In:
Duelist: Derke
Smoker(IGL): Boaster
Initiator: Leo (MVP)
Sentinel: Less (FMVP)
Flex: Chronicle

2023 Tokyo:
Duelist: ZmjjKK
Smoker(IGL): Boaster
Initiator: Leo
Sentinel: Alfajer (MVP) (FMVP)
Flex: Chronicle

2023 Champions:
Duelist: Demon1 (MVP) (FMVP)
Smoker: jawgemo
Initiator: Leo
Sentinel(IGL): Boostio
Flex: d4v41

2024 Madrid:
Duelist: zekken (MVP) (FMVP)
Smoker: TenZ
Initiator: N4RRATE
Sentinel(IGL): johnqt
Flex: f0rsakeN

2024 Shanghai:
Duelist: t3xture (MVP) (FMVP)
Smoker: Karon
Initiator: RieNs
Sentinel: Meteor
Flex(IGL): Munchkin

2024 Champions:
Duelist: ZmjjKK (FMVP)
Smoker: Smoggy
Initiator: RieNs
Sentinel: CHICHOO (MVP)
Flex: Chronicle
(i don't find a good way to put any IGL, i think they weren't as good as other tournaments)

2025 Bangkok:
Duelist: jawgemo (FMVP)
Smoker: Sylvan
Initiator: trent (MVP)
Sentinel: CHICHOO
Flex(IGL): stax

any thoughts?
i think i can change some things is not 100% sure at all, i just played with what i think was the best (MVP and FMVP are based only imo)

what about sen?
duelist: SEN TenZ 2021 Reykjavik
smoker: OPTIC Marved 2022 Reykjavik
initiator: VK/LOUD Sacy 2021/22
sentinel(IGL): SEN johnqt 2024
flex: KC N4RRATE 2024 Madrid
Coach: SEN kaplan 2024

Sacy??????????????????????

and C9 or SEN????
:
duelist: SEN TenZ 2021 Reykjavik
smoker: OPTIC Marved 2022 Reykjavik
initiator: VK/LOUD Sacy 2021/22
sentinel(IGL): SEN johnqt 2024
flex: KC N4RRATE 2024 Madrid
Coach: SEN kaplan 2024

EG all-time players in their prime or C9 all-time players in their prime

C9:
duelist: OPTIC yay 2022
smoker: SEN TenZ 2024
initiator(IGL): C9 xeta 2021 champs
sentinel: G2 leaf 2024/25
flex: SEN Zellsis 2024
Coach: C9 mCe 2023

EG:
duelist: OPTIC yay 2022
smoker: FaZe supamen 2022
initiator: EG Ethan 2023 Tokyo
sentinel(IGL): EG Boostio 2023 Champs
flex: EG jawgemo 2023 Champs
Coach: EG potter 2023

(that was the best team i think they could have, if you think there's something better pls say it)
(i know Demon1 is great but i think supamen is a better smoker than him)
(imagine there's 2 yay in this universe)

nah, T1 with Sylvan was the best team, the problem was the matches with carpe

until today there's some crazy qualification records between international tournaments
like Reykjavik 2021 to Berlin 2021, where only 1 of the top 4 teams in Reykjavik qualifed to Berlin (the next international), and only 3 teams out of 10 from Reykjavik qualified to Berlin

also there's Tokyo, where 11/12 teams from the masters qualified to the Champions only missing Attacking Soul Esports

also Sentinels 2024, as the only team to win a masters but didn't qualified to the next tournament (in the same year, which exludes EG and ACE)

but NOW TORONTO IS ABOUT TO MAKE 0 of the top 4 teams in Bangkok, and 1 out of 8 teams in Bangkok
EDG/TRA both are already out
T1/VIT both have to do a crazy lower bracket round to qualify
TL has 2 opportunities but anything can happen
DRX has to win 2 matches
G2 has a final match against EG, banger match to decide the las Americas place

SEN is the only team already in Toronto, and maybe will be the only one

if they win 2-0 they get second place
and if they win 2-1 it depends, if BBL wins they are in the top 3, if FUT wins 2-0 they are in the top 3, but if FUT wins 2-1 its decided by round difference between TL, BBL and KC

the first time EDG haven't won a China League

EDG 9-0 BLG
if BLG will be the first time they win a match against EDG
i don't think it will happen

Just updated after NR and DRX winning
only TS vs RRQ to go

Just updated after TRA and DRG being eliminated

they're against SEN
either winning and against G2, or losing and against EG
probably going to be 5/6 or 4th place

el chat de valyn repleto de hispanohablantes increible

estas viendo a borja/mix?

LETS GOO

put spaces between the . and the text for it to work

1. valyn
2. v1c
3. melser
4. xenom
5. bang

you aren't delusional
you are the delusion made person

Just updated after XLG and WOL qualifying to TORONTO

UPDATED AFTER PRX and TALON winning

• i used a system for the % of every match taking into account this year regional results, history between the 2 teams and times a team has qualified to international tournaments

latam?

you forgot latam

Mazino smokes?

Duelist: aspas
Smoker: v1c
Initiator: trent
Sentinel: Shyy
Flex: NaturE (IGL)

it doesn't matter anymore

the only way C9 qualifies now is FUR winning which is just not happenning
so now they're playing for the second place cause they need to win for that

AND THEY DID IT

or, if Furia wins a map against MIBR and MIBR doesn't surpass C9 on round difference C9 is first

C9 needs to win for 3+ rounds to have a little option to qualify first place

Just updated after TEC and NOVA being eliminated

I mean rn all 4 teams are in the same situation so its normal it's like that

i mean both XLG and WOL are 1 match away, meanwhile TRA is 5 matches away
even if they're better and the most likely team to be qualified by lower bracket, there's more chances of XLG winning against EDG than TRA qualifying

Best player in the league outside of EDG/BLG imo

1. XiLai Gaming:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 100%

2. Wolves Esports:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 100%

3. Bilibili Gaming:
   Qualifying in lower bracket: 9%
   4th place: 91%

4. Edward Gaming:
   Qualifying in lower bracket: 91%
   4th place: 9%

Most likely result:

Qualifying in upper bracket: XLG, WOL
Qualifying in lower bracket: EDG
4th: BLG

Probabilities of qualifying to Toronto:

1. XLG
2. WOL
3. EDG
4. BLG

I based the winning probabilities in the matches on the Results this year, the History between the 2 teams, the times a team has qualified to international tournaments (Lock-In doesn't count) and last but not least the importance of the match (Lower Round 3 and Upper Semifinals are the most important ones)

i mean Wol probably is favorite against TEC
but TEC has more chances against BLG i think
i'm just out rn i think everything went wrong
it's hard thinking there's +1.000 different scenarios and i really couldn't make it

me being bored and trying to make it (it didn't work, there's a mistake on the 3rd/4th place porcentages, but its 12am so i won't try to change it, just wait until todays matches and then make a better one

1. Bilibili Gaming:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 66,02%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 2,47%
   4th place: 13,35%, 5/6th place: 18,17%

2. Edward Gaming:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 55%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 27,16%
   4th place: 2,74%, 5/6th place: 15,10%

3. XiLai Gaming:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 24,75%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 10,13%
   4th place: 15,29%, 5/6th place: 21,48%, 7/8th place: 28,35%

4. Nova Esports:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 20,25%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 6,88%
   4th place: 13,79%, 5/6th place: 22,78%, 7/8th place: 36,30%

5. Titan Esports Club:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 17,15%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 11,25%
   4th place: 18,47%, 5/6th place: 32,73%, 7/8th place: 20,40%

6. Wolves Esports:
   Qualifying in upper bracket: 16,83%, Qualifying in lower bracket: 7,78%
   4th place: 17,91%, 5/6th place: 38,86%, 7/8th place: 18,62%

7. Trace Esports:
   Qualifying in lower bracket: 28,88%
   4th place: 11,42%, 5/6th place: 24,35%, 7/8th place: 35,35%

8. Dragon Ranger Gaming:
   Qualifying in lower bracket: 4,81%
   4th place: 7,68%, 5/6th place: 26,54%, 7/8th place: 60,98%

Most likely result:

Qualifying in upper bracket: BLG, EDG
Qualifying in lower bracket: TRA
4th: XLG
5/6th: TEC, WOL
7/8th: NOVA, DRG

Probabilities of qualifying to Toronto:

1. EDG
2. BLG
3. XLG
4. TRA
5. TEC
6. NOVA
7. WOL
8. DRG

13-2 13-11 13-15 and 12-9
how can you fuck up that

i'm so disappointed
we lost cause we didn't know how to close the match
it was 3-0 or 3-1 but we trolled

don't worry
this was actually just a side quest for me rn i didn't put that much effort
i'm working in a ranking for players OAT and is really hard cause i need to put every match of every player ever
i'm not even at half work and already have to do changes because of CN playoffs

yeah i will just let you something here about the other thing
with 50/50 matches Zeta at 5th goes from 7% to 37%, that's why i did everything like this

PD: you're one of the best users i've seen lately, great work

ok i didn't know that
in that case let me change that

yeah i just mean they lost 0-2 the other 3 matches
meanwhile PRX lost 1-2 the other 3 matches
its clear that PRX is better and are more likely to qualify, its not just math

it's just impossible to do it mathematically without it
it just starts making no-sense
like WHY would PRX vs GE be 50-50
when GE lost 0-2 against every team except DFM
and PRX lost 1-2 against every team except DFM
that just makes PRX better by fact

again for you, KRU has a better year, better consistency and its been 2 years since the last time 100T won against KRU
its like saying MIBR vs FUR is 50/50 or EG vs LOUD is 50/50
it's not

DRX has a better year, a better moment
they haven't changed the roster and are the actual league champions

RRQ vs TS isn't 50/50 cause clearly there's a level and momentum difference
DRX is better but its closer than PRX vs GE (GE has won 2 maps both against DFM)

That's not true
if RRQ, ZETA, TLN, T1 all get the 3-2
RRQ is first seed cause they won against everyone else crazy cause that means they lost against the 2 eliminated teams and still got first seed

if Zeta wins they qualify, doesn't matter the match against T1