Recency bias? Did you just come back from watching the Vitality LDN game? Because Lithuania 1st is a bold statement.
| Country: | United States |
| Registered: | May 1, 2021 |
| Last post: | March 20, 2024 at 4:13 PM |
| Posts: | 146 |
Recency bias? Did you just come back from watching the Vitality LDN game? Because Lithuania 1st is a bold statement.
6999 posts nice
Make the 7000th good
Taking the average by dividing by slots it looks like this:
EMEA: 113,500
NA: 69,375
LATAM: 46,667
KR: 33,750
SEA: 24,167
BR: 19,286
JP: 13,750
The average placement of each region:
which is more accurate for ranking because prize money is exponential, whereas placements are linear
EMEA: 3.5
NA: 4.875
LATAM: 5
KR: 6.5
SEA: 9.33
BR: 10.143
JP: 11
He's now on the LA Gladiators in the OWL, who are owned by the Guard. He is not playing Valorant for the Guard
Same thing happened with Rise and now they've cemented themselves into the top 8. They went on a 17W streak against T2 teams and then went on to beat out C9 in the next VCT event. Consistency matters, even if against T2 teams.
My logic is that they most likely didn't find that cam themselves, but rather they saw someone else use it. Thus, must have been aware of the past penalties when finding it. Even if not, no one on the team had any idea? No one that they scrimmed (in Brazil and Berlin) commented on it? Setups like these are made weeks or, more likely, months in advance and it's hard to believe that people who put over 40 hours a week into this game were not aware of this.
Started act 1 as gold 1
Now am immortal 1
They are 1-6 internationally with the only win being against Havan Liberty, and even then, Brazil is 2-8 internationally.
I see what you're getting at. Once you lose uppers, there is still that 30% chance that you will win lowers (rematch), and then after that, a 43% chance that you will win the grand final. Thus, when you combine those two (.3 x .4333) you get 13%. So yes, the 43% is correct, but only once the team wins lowers. The sub percentages (13/17 and 45/25) take two games into account rather than just one
Trying to make vlr a little less like Twitch chat :)
After watching G2 losing twice in a row I did some research...
When compiling eligible double elim brackets from VCT competitions...
The upper final and grand final end in these scenarios:
30% of the time there is a rematch
-17% of the time it is the same result
-13% of the time it is a different result
70% of the time there is no rematch
-45% of the time the upper team wins
-25% of the time the lower teams wins
if you lose upper finals you're basically screwed with only a 13% chance of winning
if you win upper finals you're sitting on a nice 62% chance of winning
Out of the 15 times upper and lower finals have been on the same day, the team that lost upper finals win lower finals only 20% of the time
Whereas, on different days, they double their chances and win 41% of the time
When asked on stream "In VCT NA double elim brackets, when a team loses upper finals and play lower finals on the same day they are 0-8. On different days they are 2-0. Do you think this is due to momentum or a different factor?"
"I mean, what's unfortunate about tournaments is that one day you and your whole team could be vibing and feeling it, you just feel good, and another day you can feel like shit. And the best teams in the world have more good days than bad days. Every team has bad days, every team. But, some teams have more shitty days than, you know, is probably good for your team" - TSM FTX hazed
"I have no idea. Honestly I have no fucking idea what you just said." - T1 curry
Wait until he plays against decent regions/teams? He might be the best, but that's yet to be known. Any player who plays in a lesser region will have boosted stats.
To elaborate, these regions have seemingly impossible qualification routes and only get one chance to somehow make it out on top of 3/4 brackets in a row. Do you think that they might get spot(s) in challengers so they at least have a couple chances to prove themselves? I don't know how the transportation would work, but for example top 1/2 OCE compete in a 16 team NA closed qualifier to get to challengers 1, before the double elim bracket.
Out of the top 20 ACS from Berlin, 9 were Jett players, another 7 played raze/reyna totaling up to 16 duelists. Here are the 4 that weren't.
100T Ethan had the highest ACS among all smoke agents as omen with 249, however, he has a small sample size with only 43 rounds played
Regions against other regions (updated Sep 20):
NA: 14-4 (78%)
EMEA: 15-7 (68%)
LATAM: 3-4 (43%)
KR: 4-7 (36%)
SEA: 1-4 (20%)
BR: 2-8 (20%)
JP: 1-6 (14%)
NA, EMEA, KR vs rest of the world: 15-0 (100%)
-Mapwise 30-2 (94%) Sharks v Nuturn and Paper Rex v SMB
NA v EMEA: 6-3 (67%)
KR v NA/EMEA: 2-7 (22%)
Excluding NA, EMEA, and KR matches...
LATAM: 3-0 (100%)
SEA: 1-1 (50%)
BR: 2-3 (40%)
JP: 1-3 (25%)
Percentage of opponents from NA/EMEA/KR:
NA: 81%
EMEA: 73%
KR: 82%
LATAM: 43%
BR: 50%
SEA: 60%
JP: 43%
You get better by facing better teams. Yeah, they could've stayed and won nearly every OCE tournament and had a chance at international events, but at those events they would simply be so far behind. They want to be one of the best in the world, not just the kings of down under.
They definitely take a map off of one at least
Don't think there's any wrong picks no matter what you pick, All of these teams are insane and any of the 5 favorites (Sen, NV, 100T, TSM, XSET) have a good shot at winning or at least making Berlin
There have been a lot of people saying that yay is very mechanically talented, but doesn't work that well with other players.
Just curious where you're getting that from?
Marved is on loan, yes, but dephh and zekken both came in for XSET at around the same time so I wouldn't make that a factor or excuse for Envy
Lmao you shouldn't base a players ability to play the game off of their team's achievements, that's just a horrible argument.
I could be wrong, but I'm pretty sure it switches so they would play someone from the other side of the bracket
But they are thinking long term, if they qualify for Berlin they get wayyy more money than winning today
But with Envy you get Sen round 2...
Hahaha I was just saying that there are people who haven't heard much of them either since they haven't made a huge impact in the Valorant scene. I'm not talking about the org as a whole, but rather the individual Val team. Same with the other teams I mentioned until they started winning. And if you knew those teams before they blew up, good for you, but most wouldn't. And if you want to keep mindlessly, disrespectfully arguing, you can start with stating something that the Giants have done before this week that would warrant them being a favorite to make it to Berlin over EU's two Iceland representatives
I can't wait for Sen to fall off so all the bandwagon fans move to a new team. Y'all have to give respect to Rise, went on a 17W streak in the tier 2 scene and then went on to beat the likes of C9, FaZe, and GenG. Don't get me wrong I still think Sen 2-1, but I feel like too many people are starting to think that the team is unbeatable when the pro scene is still barely evolving and unpredictable.
Yeah whoever wins plays Sen second round if they both win first
Don't blame you for calling them nonamers, I don't know who they are lmao. However, the pro scene is still evolving and is extremely unstable rn, we are going to keep seeing these noname teams make runs out of nowhere for the next year. In the NA scene, think of V1, Rise, DarkZero, XSet, Pioneers, etc. Happens in every new competitive scene
People seriously have to stop using international numbers and performances to make a regional list
Renegades is probably the most decorated Tier 2 team, winning 6 of the 9 NSG summer tourneys that they have entered, beating the likes of Soniqs, Ghost, BBG, and absolutely dominating the scene. They haven't been able to get themselves into VCT main events yet, but it's only a matter of time tbh, and they are never going to be an easy opponent.
If all the good teams had bad seeds and all the decent teams had good seeds it would be the same thing. Sen, 100T, Envy, TSM, FaZe, Abx, XSET, etc. would all still play no name teams. And if you mean to put them up against each other early in the qualifiers then you would have tier 2 teams where they shouldn't be and only a few actual good teams in the main events which is bad for NA because this tournament circuit decides who represents the region in Berlin. Do you follow any sports or competitive events? It works the same way.
500hrs on csgo in 3 years (peak silver 3), and now about 1,200hrs on Val in 1 year (peak diamond 2)
Sen banned Icebox, no rope buff for Asuna sadge
I've seen like 3 different teams use this and there are probably more...
Just using that example to show that they can win, I don't consider it a major either
Idk why we're basing people on their favorite team's success. Makes no sense lol
They won First Strike? They have the potential for sure, not as likely as Sen or Envy winning obviously, but we just saw V1 exceed everyone's expectations, why should anyone count any top 5 team out?
3 of the 4 losses that day were 11-13 too... I hope they can make a run and get into Berlin. I wanna see them in LA
Thank you, needed it for myself and I figured it could help people here too
https://drive.google.com/file/d/14NaCNfKDC3LTqpI7W45Idz07EoaTblxF/view?usp=sharing
It was difficult to keep track of roster changes of all the major teams so I made a little graphic.
Included who I think are tier 1 and top tier 2 teams.
Note: this graphic only considers the starting 5 players, meaning that players dropped could just be on the bench for the time being rather than completely out of the org
Note: Some of these changes have not been made official but are very likely to happen. (lmk if there's anything that I missed or is incorrect)
Teams are in no particular order.
No shot you just said Renegades are top 3 lmao
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