Hi yall,
im working on a model that predicts odds for valorant matches and trying to see if I can get one thats more accurate then the betting odds we see already. its mainly a personal project but obviously the end goal is creating a profitable model. ive done a pretty good job leveraging statistics into my model, map pool, just everything youd think would normally be included.
the thing i want to work on the most moving forward to hopefully build an edge on the betting odds that are in place are mental factors, was curious what you guys had to add regarding that.
these are mostly gonna be booleans (this might not be realistic), but obviously anything that sounds intriguing im down to include to see if that improves my accuracy.
things like stage experience, win/loss streak, "home" advantage, tilt factors (something i included specifically after watching narrates last two matches XD), roster changes, etc.
keep in mind i think there are a LOT of things i could add if i was worried about how these odds would be changing in the middle of ongoing matches, but i really only am trying to start out with straight money lines pre match, so keep that in mind
would appreciate any help :D
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