0 to 100%, what's the chance and why
cboomer [#2]theres 6 teams remaining I'd say 20 20 20 20 for prx fnc loud and eg then 15 for edg and 5 for drx
It doesnt make sense to give EG and PRX the same odds as FNC and LOUD since they are both in upper bracket
cboomer [#2]theres 6 teams remaining I'd say 20 20 20 20 for prx fnc loud and eg then 15 for edg and 5 for drx
dumbass take as usual lol
quitrube [#10]The only thing I know is LOUD have 100% chance of sending Fraudnatic t home 😻
traitor
Asuna_Yuuki [#6]It doesnt make sense to give EG and PRX the same odds as FNC and LOUD since they are both in upper bracket
that would work if it was % to make finals dumbass but the reality is fnatic and loud still have large chances to make finals lol
the map ban advantage won't be as impactful in some possible matches
cboomer [#12]that would work if it was % to make finals dumbass but the reality is fnatic and loud still have large chances to make finals lol
the map ban advantage won't be as impactful in some possible matches
Haha u don’t know how statistics work
EG and PRX only have to win 1 of the next 2 matches to make finals
LOUD/FNC need 3 in a row
No matter how you look at it, EG and PRX need to have significantly higher percentages than LOUD and FNC
And to win the tournament, you need to get to the finals
Also considering there is a 2 map ban for the upper bracket team, EG and PRX should be a lot higher
How can you give a team that only needs to win 1 out of the next two games to make finals, the same odds as a team that needs to win 3 games in a row
Asuna_Yuuki [#14]Haha u don’t know how statistics work
EG and PRX only have to win 1 of the next 2 matches to make finals
LOUD/FNC need 3 in a row
No matter how you look at it, EG and PRX need to have significantly higher percentages than LOUD and FNC
And to win the tournament, you need to get to the finals
Also considering there is a 2 map ban for the upper bracket team, EG and PRX should be a lot higher
How can you give a team that only needs to win 1 out of the next two games to make finals, the same odds as a team that needs to win 3 games in a row
it's not % to win finals tho lol and both fnatic and loud are heavily favored in their first lowers match, it's essentially a top 4 at this point, do you understand moron?
cboomer [#15]it's not % to win finals tho lol and both fnatic and loud are heavily favored in their first lowers match, it's essentially a top 4 at this point, do you understand moron?
Ok even if it is “essentially a top 4” let me try breaking this down to you mathematically
Lets assume all 4 teams are equal and each game is a 50/50
And lets assume EG beat PRX in upper bracket since either one is guaranteed anyway
Then PRX have a 50% chance to win Lower finals
Meanwhile, FNC and LOUD play eachother
If every game 50/50 game, LOUD or FNC need to win both of the next two games to make it to finals
So that means both only have a 25% chance of making finals compared to a 50% chance of PRX
And obviously you need to make it to finals if you want to win the tournament
You just don’t understand simple statistics/probability
It statistically makes no sense for PRX and EG to have the same chance as FNC and LOUD unless you think FNC and LOUD are very superior to EG and PRX(which they aren’t)
You need to take a stats class
And also the double map ban further decreases LOUD and FNC’s chances of winning
Asuna_Yuuki [#16]Ok even if it is “essentially a top 4” let me try breaking this down to you mathematically
Lets assume all 4 teams are equal and each game is a 50/50
And lets assume EG beat PRX in upper bracket since either one is guaranteed anyway
Then PRX have a 50% chance to win Lower finals
Meanwhile, FNC and LOUD play eachother
If every game 50/50 game, LOUD or FNC need to win both of the next two games to make it to finals
So that means both only have a 25% chance of making finals compared to a 50% chance of PRX
And obviously you need to make it to finals if you want to win the tournament
You just don’t understand simple statistics/probability
It statistically makes no sense for PRX and EG to have the same chance as FNC and LOUD unless you think FNC and LOUD are very superior to EG and PRX(which they aren’t)
You need to take a stats class
And also the double map ban further decreases LOUD and FNC’s chances of winning
it's not to make finals tho, I obviously favor loud and fnatic to win out of lowers lol
cboomer [#18]it's not to make finals tho, I obviously favor loud and fnatic to win out of lowers lol
Ok but the two map ban decreases both of their chances of winning
And why do you favor LOUD and FNC to win out of lowers
They have both looked weaker than PRX/EG this tournament
And to win finals you would need to make finals
If I included chances to win the tournament LOUD and FNC would each only have like a 9% chance to win the tournament
And even the 9% probability of FNC/LOUD winning is too high considering their games today are by no means guaranteed