top 4 as sen, 100t, eg, kru is locked in
Read tiebreaker rules on liquipedia. H2H first, if paradox then map differential, if map differential tied round differential.
Even if eg loses to loud and 2g wins vs sen, both teams will be 2-3 in which case tiebreaker is h2h. EG wins this cause they won against 2g
Possible scenarios:
1) sen wins against 2g, 100t wins against kru, eg wins vs loud
100t and sen are 4-1; sen wins h2h. eg and kru are 3-2, eg wins h2h -> 1) sen 2) 100t 3) eg 4) kru
2) sen loses to 2g, 100t wins against kru, eg wins vs loud
100t is 4-1. sen, eg, kru are 3-2 -> sen beat eg beat kru, seeding is dependent on round and then map differential -> 1) 100t, rest unknown
3) 2, but eg loses vs loud
100t is 4-1. sen, kru are 3-2; kru wins h2h. eg is 2-3 -> 1) 100t 2) kru 3) sen 4) eg
4) sen wins against 2g, 100t loses against kru, eg wins vs loud
sen and kru are 4-1, kru wins h2h. 100t and eg are 3-2, 100t wins h2h -> 1) kru 2) sen 3) 100t 4) eg
5) sen loses to 2g, 100t loses to kru
kru is 4-1. sen and 100t are 3-2; sen wins h2h. 1) kru 2) sen 3) 100t 4) eg
IF EG LOSES TO LOUD THEY ARE AUTO 4TH SEED
Everyone but 100t is possibly 4th seed!
There are 8 possible outcomes (2^3). Calculating probability of each team getting 1st seed assuming each match is 50/50 we have:
sen 1st seed -> 25%
kru 1st seed -> 50%
100t 1st seed -> 25%
eg 1st seed -> 0%
Lmk if I made mistake!!
edit: whoops probability.