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Most likely to qualify in APAC Play-in

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#1
not_toxic_at_all

APAC Playoffs Edition: Who is most likely to qualify in APAC Play-in for each group

I'm back😠, I will be continuing from this thread since the groups have been revealed. This time I'll be covering each teams' chances (statistically), so opinions may differ.

As of today, Valorant has announced the VCT APAC group draws. In case, you are too lazy to open the link, the Play-in groups are:
Group A: BAAM (VN), ONIC (ID), Full Sense (TH), and Action PH (PH)
Group B: Griffin (HK/TW), Fancy United (VN), No Namers (SG/MY), and Global Esports (SA)

What are the chances of each team qualifying?
Group A will be a banger, meanwhile, Group B is quite predictable.

GROUP A

  1. BAAM

    • Nhatthong2k and nTK are players to be watched, although, they are not the most consistent based on recent matches.
    • 100% win rate in Icebox (running a double sentinels meta or sometimes double duelists), meanwhile, decent in Haven (60%). It's still too early to tell whether they are good or bad in the other maps since they've only played it a few times. (here)
    • As I mentioned in my last thread, I'm not so confident about this team. Compared to other teams in the group, they have low chances of qualifying.
  2. ONIC

    • Monyet, the main duelist, has the 3rd highest ACS in Indonesia. This team, most of the time, uses a double initiator meta. However, it seems that they keep sticking to their meta and never tried to change even one agent in their composition (can be seen here).
    • So far, they are good in Icebox and Haven (both 75% win rate), however, still early to judge in their other maps.
    • A strong team with experience, they have a decent chance to qualify
  3. Full Sense

    • JohnOlsen, the main duelist, also has a high ACS. This team has been pretty consistent if you count out the loss against XERXIA.
    • They've been showing convincing win rates in their recent matches.
    • I can't really talk much about this team, they've been so good so far. If they don't throw, pretty much a 100% chance to qualify.
  4. Action PH

    • Georggyyy, also has a high ACS and has been quite consistent (according to recent matches). Pretty much use the same agent comp, but I noticed that they've been trying some new things (maybe).
    • Compared to other maps, APH is probably the weakest in Haven (45% win rate). Even so, they have a decent win rate in other maps. (here)
    • Huge potential from this team. Talking about chances, they are on equal terms with ONIC (arguable).

GROUP B

  1. Griffin

    • Attention and SiuFatBB are probably the most to be concerned from this team. Griffin is the most unique team out of all teams because their roles differ in each map (it's actually crazy, just take a look at this)
    • Ascent is probably their weakest, meanwhile, pretty decent in Haven and Split. Can't really judge their other maps yet. (here)
    • Barely has a chance, but can surprise us. Who knows?
  2. Fancy United

    • K1LLERS, the main duelist, has been pretty good so far but inconsistent, especially in the last match against CERBERUS. They are smart in their agent picks, but still looks shaky.
    • 100% win rate in Split and pretty decent in other maps. (here)
    • Taking my time in researching about them is boring KEKW, I don't know much about them. But hey, at least they are technically better than BAAM right now. In my opinion, they are on equal terms with NN (arguable)
  3. No Namers

    • Based on recent ACS, Vera and Tempz are pretty decent. Uses the same agent comp in every map, so far. Nothing much interesting about their agent comp.
    • Pretty strong on Ascent, meanwhile, decent in others. They have convincing win rates if you ask me. (here)
    • Probably on equal terms with Fancy United (arguable)
  4. Global Esports

    • SkRossi and Lightningfast are the top 5 players with the highest ACS in VCC, 4th and 5th respectively. They always try something new in their agent comp, but they always stick to the same roles (most of the time use a double initiator meta).
    • Based on statistics, they are mediocre in Haven, meanwhile pretty strong in other maps. (here)
    • fuck this shit

Best of luck to all teams!

#2
not_toxic_at_all
39
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If you guys want, I'll do a "How every team in Group Stage can qualify for Masters". I know that we haven't seen who will qualify from the play-in so I'll only talk about the other teams. So that includes XERXIA, SBE, BOOM, PRX, MiTH, NAOS, BWL, BLEED, CERBERUS, OF, VLT, and Bonkers (since there are so many teams, I'll divide it into 4 threads according to their groups).

#32
Godson
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yes plss

#35
Grumsy
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yesssss

#3
Stax_rb_op
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W

#4
Stax_rb_op
-4
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but GE (IND) not (SA)

#9
Stax_rb_op
-10
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nah bro....only INDIA support them...SA fans do not.

#12
not_toxic_at_all
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so is it wrong if I use SA?

#16
Bo0mShell
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No it's not. Other people also support us. Our eyes are just used to spotting trolls and toxic people

#13
arzuluvkitty
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That is a problem ?

#14
Bo0mShell
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Bro that's just not true. Don't make assumptions from trolls in YouTube chat and some idiots here.

#17
sueYA
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pretty sure GE has decent fans from all over SA and not just India, the region is SA not India

#8
RG
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bro IND is part of SA

#19
wizardbot
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GE is repping whole SA not just IND, stop with the BS

#22
AimanFayaz
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GE has come from VCC, which is a tournament for the entire South Asia or SA. So it should be SA, not IND. No matter who supports what or not lol

#28
KssS
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my head hurts reading from your comment

#33
W_Hold
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India isn't a region.
Bruh

#5
Grumsy
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W thread

#7
RG
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Massive W

#10
Bo0mShell
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W

#11
ciro
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W, and yeah this is pretty good news for Indian valo fans

#15
deadSQUAD
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i would say onic, action ph and fs. i dont who's better from the rest.

#18
sueYA
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only 2 can qualify from each group, I think FS is kinda guaranteed then either onic/aph will qualify, I personally think it will be APH but lets see

#36
deadSQUAD
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ah right mb, i thought the loser from each group would play each other again on loser bracket.

#20
DELUSIONAL_ASIAN_FAN
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Common W

#21
ItsMeDio
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W thread
W user

#23
fatpoipoiiii
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ez for onic

#24
carl123
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honestly, FS shouldn't be in play-in.
unlucky af that VCT TH had no lower bracket so FS ends up here

#25
Vividogre
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If GE chokes this .......

#27
ssw
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Everyone chokes on this pressure

#26
S0v4k
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Good stuff yo. Thanks not_toxic_at_all!

#29
deathlyclaws
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W

#30
Sanaki
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based

#31
Pogtestic
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Depends on matchup

#34
DELUSIONAL_FANS_DESTROYER
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Name check, huge W

#37
Vortexy
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W post

#38
not_toxic_at_all
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I've done all of the research, said that full sense and global will dominate, and I was so wrong. At least, I was right about the 'griffin can surprise us' part. ffs

#39
Rainyy
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this is so sad

#40
carl123
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it's ok. Anything can happen in this game just like NA and EU scene Optic lost to V1 , Gambit lost to FPX

#41
deathlyclaws
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Didn't age well

#42
DELUSIONAL_ASIAN_FAN
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100% qualify... kekw

#43
wannadieASAP
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aged like spoilt milk

#44
Rainyy
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:(

#45
gigz
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SkWHOsi????

#46
skyeSG
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idk about that NN read bro

#47
bambamskrrt
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me too :0

#49
not_toxic_at_all
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I know but I have no information about you guys :v

I was only researching past matches and stats. This is your first tourney together and it's doing so well. Good luck and sorry for the wrong read :)

#51
skyeSG
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im just joking I appreciate the analysis it was a great read <3 yea we are still very fresh. thankfully we are proving people wrong.

#55
not_toxic_at_all
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Thanks! Good luck in the group stage and keep proving everyone wrong!

#48
Hasbulla
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UH OH

#50
ChapSticks
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umm.... yep, just like valorant champions, throw away your expectations

#52
hystorez
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"100% qualify (not sarcasm), they have the most experience compared to others."

AHAHAHAHAH

#53
ItsMeDio
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Well, like 90% of us predicted that lmao

#56
hystorez
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laugh at myself for that prediction...

#54
not_toxic_at_all
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dude...😢

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