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GE, RRQ, and TS's battle for the last playoff spot

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#1
hanafuuji

If you don't know what's currently happening in the Pacific, due to the tiebreaker rules, the top 5 team for Pacific Playoffs are basically secured, and that is DRX, PRX, GEN.G, T1, and ZETA (unless some insane upsets happened in the last couple of matches of course).

And for the last spot for the playoffs, there's currently 3 teams that are in contention to taking that spot, and that is Team Secret, RRQ, and Global Esports. And on this post I'm gonna explain all of the possible scenarios to happen for each of these three teams to make playoffs (reminder that these scenarios are with the most likeliest result to happen in mind, that team's scenario would not be correct if the other team in the contention pull off an upset), starting with Global Esports:

Global Esports

Global Esports currently has a 2-4 record in the league, even though they have a losing record they're actually +3 in round differential, not that it matters but it's still impressive considering Team Secret who has a 3-3 record has a fewer round differential. They're actually in a brink of elimination until they pull off an upset win against Gen.G that put them back in the contention for playoffs

The next three teams that GE are going to face is RRQ, DFM, and Team Secret. They are quite lucky that they still haven't face the other two teams and can decide their fate for the playoffs in their own hands. And here are some of the most likeliest scenarios to happen for GE to be in the playoffs ranging from difficulty:

  1. If they won all of their last three matches, they're basically guaranteed to be in the playoffs
  2. If they won against RRQ and DFM, but lose against Team Secret, they are out of the playoffs due to the head to head rule (In this scenario GE and TS will likely have a 4-5 record but TS edges out because they beat GE in the head-to-head)
  3. If they lose against RRQ, but win against DFM and Team Secret, they are in the playoffs IF RRQ lose all of their remaining matches, which is Talon and Paper Rex

Their most important match is actually their match against Team Secret, that match will basically decide if they're in the playoffs or not. It's a bit of rough path for GE to make playoffs, but if they can beat Gen.G I feel like they can still pull the first scenario off, but I would say that the second scenario are the most highly likely to happen

Team Secret

Team Secret currently has a 3-3 record in the league, which is the best out of all of the three teams, but unfortunately their last 3 remaining matches are the hardest one out of the three teams. They're going to face against T1, DRX, and Global Esports, and here's are the most likeliest scenarios for them:

  1. If they win against T1 and GE, they are guaranteed to be in the playoffs
  2. If they lose against T1 but then win against GE, they will be in the playoffs IF RRQ lose at least two of their remaining matches (the most likely team for RRQ to lose to is PRX and GE) if RRQ win two of their remaining matches TS is out
  3. If they lose all of their remaining matches they are out of the playoffs

All Team Secret got to do is beat GE and hope for RRQ's downfall, that's basically it. And I would say that scenario is the most likely to happened for them

Rex Regum Qeon

RRQ currently has a 2-4 record in the league, they had a rough start but they got a crucial win in a match against Team Secret that would put them above Team Secret if there's ever a tiebreaker between those two, Their last three opponents are GE, Talon, and PRX. and here's the scenarios for RRQ to be in the playoff:

  1. if RRQ win all of their remaining matches, they're basically in the playoff
  2. if RRQ lose against GE but won against Talon and PRX, they would be in the playoff IF GE and TS lose all of their remaining matches
  3. if RRQ win against GE and Talon, but lost against PRX, they would be in the playoff IF TS didn't win at least two of their remaining three matches (in this scenario TS are most likely to win against T1 and GE)

In order for RRQ to be in the playoff they need to win at least two of their remaining matches, which is very unlikely but considering RRQ impressive showing against DRX it's definitely not impossible for them do pull it off.

Conclusion

if I were to rank the chances of each of these three teams to be in the playoff it would be this:

  1. Team Secret
  2. Global Esports
  3. RRQ

In my opinion out of all the scenarios Team Secret are the most likely to came out on top to take that final spot, but all three of the team's chances are neck-to-neck. All of these three teams have rose up and fell down the power rankings over the past two months and I would not be surprised if either of these three teams take that final spot.

if I made any errors or if you think there's something wrong in this post let me know

#2
horse69
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allat

#35
zardinez
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allat shit slaps

#3
Tanmayyy
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W reading allat

#4
bruddah
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extremely rare W
even if GE doesnt qualify for playoffs, i still think they can win LCQ comfortably.

#5
SHREYASHFTW
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W post

#6
hanafuuji
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to add a bit more on the second scenario for GE: there's a chance for a three way tie happening between them, even in the match against Team Secret GE loses. the day after the match RRQ will face PRX, if up until that point the most predictable outcome happened and then RRQ beat PRX on the final match of the pacific league then what will happen is that all of these three team would be in a three way tie and if that happens GE has somewhat of a good chance to make it through due to their high differentials. So there could be something spicy happening on the last day of the league

#7
aJAYYY
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Nerd

#32
hanafuuji
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bacot

#50
fafgt
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Bener bro u nerd. Lu udah kaya perawan ting ting nulis" ginian

#52
IamVengeance
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flair

#51
Marcusgeez
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gelut2

#8
_s
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Last slot most likely to be happen between GE or/ TS

#11
hanafuuji
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they could still make it without beating PRX

#15
_s
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Well, Zeta still have potential to loose their all 3 Match tbh

#17
hanafuuji
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yea but they beat all of these three teams, unless there's two of the three teams here has a better record than zeta then there's no way they got knocked

#55
FalleN_is_BhandxD
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W POST

#9
thatpower
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talon could still mathematically make it 🗿 i think 🗿

#10
omoshiroioshirin
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Why GE >>> RRQ
-RRQ is L
-Lord Ejay has constipation so he'll not play
-Lmemore is the only good guy but he sold all his strats to Monyet
-Indo fans are starting to hate RRQ for their recent loses
-No one super chatting so they borrow money
-Cahya (monyet) is charging up for his mantap bjirr play
-Also, Moyet is MONKE god so no one can compete with him
-Lord Skrossi charging up with haters' frustration (converting it to Sk lassi play)
-T3xture charging up with s3xture energy (from korean girl fans)
-GES is W

#12
FrostTree187
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RRQ lost their chance to playoffs once they lost to T1 (unless they beat GE which is unlikely becoz GE looks more consistent)

#16
omoshiroioshirin
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You attending the RRQ watchparty this sunday in Jakarta?? [I'll try attending the GES watchparty in Delhi], then maybe well see each other during timeouts XD

#56
lilbhosduu
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Bro is jinxing.
GE fans don't get comfortable it's still difficult against RRQ.

#13
VEDANtt
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My man is with half research I guess top 5 ZETA still not confirmed if they lose all matches with medium margin ge or TS comes to 5 th position …… you need more research I guess and a short essay

#14
hanafuuji
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they have the biggest chance to get knocked out of the top 5 teams sure but they beat all of these three teams and that put them higher head to head in case either of these three teams has the same record as them, so there's no shot ZETA out of the playoffs, unless some miracle happened

#18
VEDANtt
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Who said zeta out of play offs ?? Read it man read it

#19
hanafuuji
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oh I thought you meant the playoff spot, I mean it doesn't really matter at all if they go 5th or 6th honestly, unless you really care that much about the seeding

#20
_s
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If Zeta loses all 3 games They will be 4-5

#22
hanafuuji
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yea but they can move to 6th if TS win two of their matches, that would put TS 5-4 and therefore ahead of ZETA, but ZETA would still be in the playoff (unless something miraculous happens)

#24
_s
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What if TS lose to T1 and DRX

#25
hanafuuji
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look at the second scenario for Team Secret on my post

#23
VEDANtt
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And if ge or Ts win all they will be 5-4

#27
hanafuuji
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two of them can't win all of their matches because the two of them would face eachother

the only way for ZETA to get knocked out would be either of these two scenarios:

  1. GE won all of their matches and Team Secret somehow beat T1 AND DRX
  2. Team Secret won against GE and T1 and then RRQ somehow won all of their matches, including PRX

that's why I put a disclaimer "(unless some insane upsets happened in the last couple of matches of course)" after I say that because I don't see RRQ beating PRX or TS beating DRX, either of these needs to happen in order for ZETA to get knocked out

#21
Neonfreak
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Common hanafuuji W

#26
Puzzy
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where's talon scenario

#28
hanafuuji
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if TALON won all of their remaining matches, and GE won against Secret, and other scenarios that I'm too lazy to think of, they could make it but I just don't see it tbh

#29
Lelouch_Chaudhary
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W

#30
h786
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This post was very readable, good job on structuring your writing this way, better than some actual writers on VLR

#38
hanafuuji
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that's kinda sad for VLR ngl 💀

#31
Clayy
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👍

#33
Klause
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Appreciate your effort broo...
Big W

#34
zardinez
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Great post and W analysis!

Just for future reference, some of the tenses were a bit confusing like in this line: "They're actually in a brink of elimination until they pull off an upset win against Gen.G that put them back in the contention for playoffs".

I think in this case, you'd want to use past tense, and say "they were" instead of they are and "pulled" instead of "put". More fluidly, it would read "They were on the brink of elimination until they pulled off an upset win against Gen.G that put them back in contention in playoffs". Also just make sure to use future tense (so "win", "would be", etc) when describing possible future scenarios with if.

This is all super nitpicky, so I'm sorry about that, but I figured it might help you in the future. Really great writing and really great information, thank you dude!!

#36
hanafuuji
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damn thanks man! I don't wanna be a writer or anything like that but thanks for the input! I just got too much time to kill lmao

#46
zardinez
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Of course of course. I'm in the same boat, you've seen some of my longer posts I'm sure.

#37
Domination
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Gigachads don't need so much words to say GE ain't qualifying 🗿

#39
hanafuuji
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botssi 🗿

#49
Tanmayyy
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botssi 🗿

#40
godfatherofindia
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Bruh get a job at a esports website

#41
hanafuuji
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damn maybe I should pursue esports journalism, cuz most esports journalist suck ass 💀

#42
pussyslayer
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Me when studying physics:- ☹️
Me when studying who takes the last pacific slot:- 🧑🏻‍🔬

#54
omoshiroioshirin
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Both this comment and your name are W

#43
Coopertin0
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TMosura alt

#44
Ultimate6989
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Honestly I love how you didn't even mention TS would be in playoffs if they won all their remaining matches LMAO

#45
hanafuuji
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I don't pander to delusions.

#47
alice_
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DAMN LOL

#48
AsstheticYY
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W post

#53
canyon
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Common W by my soulmate @hanafuuji <3

#57
luckypleb
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GE wins all the match and qual to tokyo ezpz hello india #gefighting

#58
wizardbot
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W post and good read, a few grammar mistakes but it's fine. Im probably biased but I think GE has the best chances, Secret just doesn't inspire much confidence because their players aren't as good on paper.

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