50% EMEA
5%KR
1%JP
14%NA
10%BR
10%APAC
10%LATAM
Honestly I would bump the non-emea chances given there is a strong probability that a lot of visa issues regarding Russian players could almost nuke 2 EMEA teams leaving fnatic as the only hope for EU. There is decent odds KRU will be the highest placing team at Champs to be able to play at iceland. Feelsvisaproblemsman
EMEA: 56%
NA: 24% (OPTIC and Guard the only ones I believe in maybe Cloud9 If seen more strategical depth)
BR: 10% (Sounds dumb, but LOUD is looking really strong, fluent strategical depth and great fundamentals, able to neutralize big threats from Champions-level)
LATAM: 5%
APAC: 4%
KR: 1%
JP: 0% (Sadge)